WHAT DRIVES EXCHANGE RATE UNCERTAINTY FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF GLOBAL AND DOMESTIC FACTORS
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Author
Presented To
Department of Statistics
ABSTRACT
The purpose of this research is to study the uncertainty of a country from a new\r\nperspective. Besides, we also further our study into the determinants of the uncertainty.\r\nThis study consists of data from sample 20 countries both developed and developing\r\ncountries from 2000 to 2015, using quarterly data for exchange rate while annual data\r\nfor the independent variables. The reason we used quarterly data for exchange rate is\r\nthat we will be composing our own exchange rate uncertainty index (EUI) using the\r\nquarterly data. Then, we applied the pooled OLS, Fixed Effect Model (FEM) and\r\nRandom Effect Model (REM) to analyze the significance of the determinant of EUI\r\nbased on the panel data. In overall, we found that global factors are significant to EUI\r\nwhereas domestic factors are insignificant except the country’s trade factor. To the best\r\nextend of our knowledge, we found that most of the previous researchers have study\r\nthe exchange rate using the volatility. So, we intend to establish a new study based on\r\nthe skewness of exchange rate among developed and developing countries.
TABLE OF CONTENT Page
Copyright Page. . . . . . . . . . . . ..II
Declaration. . . . . . . . . . . . - .III
Acknowledgements. . . . . . . . . . . .. IV
Table of Contents. . . . . . . . . . . - .V
List of Tables . . . . . . . . . . . . VIII
List of Figures. . . . . . . . . . . . . IX
List of Abbreviations . . . . . . . . . . . .X
List of Appendices. . . . . . . . . . . ..
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